Brit Predictor

Rochdale vs Grimsby prediction

England League Two · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeRochdale 2–2 GrimsbyResult X

Who wins?

RochdaleDrawGrimsby
Model 2 ✗
32%26%42%
Market 2 ✗
28%25%47%

Brit Predictor's model rates Grimsby to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Rochdale 32% at home, a draw 26% and Grimsby 42%, so its call is 2: Grimsby to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 25% / 47%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rochdale and 1.5 for Grimsby; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score55%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Rochdale

Attack 14th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

LDWWW
  • L 2-3 at Crewe 2026-10-17
  • D 1-1 at Tranmere 2026-10-10
  • W 1-0 v Swindon 2026-10-03
  • W 2-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-09-26
  • W 2-0 v Oldham 2026-09-19

Grimsby

Attack 4th of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.

LLLLW
  • L 0-2 v Northampton 2026-10-17
  • L 0-1 at Port Vale 2026-10-10
  • L 1-2 v Shrewsbury 2026-10-03
  • L 1-2 at Newport County 2026-09-26
  • W 2-0 v Crawley Town 2026-09-19

From 1230 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Tue 20 Oct

More England League Two games on Tue 20 Oct