Gillingham vs Port Vale prediction
England League Two · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Port Vale to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Gillingham 31% at home, a draw 30% and Port Vale 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 28% / 44%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gillingham and 1.1 for Port Vale; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Port Vale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Gillingham
Attack 19th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Accrington 2026-10-17
- W 4-1 at Rotherham 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 v Newport County 2026-10-03
- L 0-3 at York 2026-09-26
- W 3-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-19
Port Vale
Attack 17th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Chesterfield 2026-10-17
- W 1-0 v Grimsby 2026-10-10
- L 0-2 at Walsall 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Exeter 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Salford 2026-09-05
From 1230 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Tue 20 Oct
- Barnet vs Swindon · FT 1–3
- Bristol Rvs vs Salford · FT 1–2
- Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · FT 4–2
- Chesterfield vs Colchester · FT 1–1
- Exeter vs Crewe · FT 2–0
- Northampton vs Tranmere · FT 0–1
- Rochdale vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Newport County · FT 2–2
- Walsall vs Oldham · FT 3–0
- York vs Accrington · FT 1–1
- Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–3