Barnet vs Swindon prediction
England League Two · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeBarnet 1–3 SwindonResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
BarnetDrawSwindon
Model 1 ✗
56%21%22%
Market 1 ✗
66%19%15%
Brit Predictor's model rates Barnet to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Barnet 56% at home, a draw 21% and Swindon 22%, so its call is 1: Barnet to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 66% / 19% / 15%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.1 for Barnet and 1.2 for Swindon; the single most likely score is 2-1.
Expected goals2.1 – 1.2
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score62%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Barnet
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
WWWWD
- W 2-1 at Tranmere 2026-10-17
- W 3-1 at Bristol Rvs 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Accrington 2026-09-12
- D 3-3 at Chesterfield 2026-09-05
Swindon
Attack 5th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
DLLDL
- D 1-1 v Walsall 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 v Crewe 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 at Rochdale 2026-10-03
- D 1-1 v Accrington 2026-09-26
- L 0-1 at Salford 2026-09-19
From 1230 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Tue 20 Oct
- Bristol Rvs vs Salford · FT 1–2
- Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · FT 4–2
- Chesterfield vs Colchester · FT 1–1
- Exeter vs Crewe · FT 2–0
- Northampton vs Tranmere · FT 0–1
- Rochdale vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Newport County · FT 2–2
- Walsall vs Oldham · FT 3–0
- York vs Accrington · FT 1–1
- Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–3
- Gillingham vs Port Vale · FT 1–1
