Northampton vs Tranmere prediction
England League Two · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1X ✗ (home win or draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Northampton to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Northampton 38% at home, a draw 37% and Tranmere 25%, so its call is 1X: Northampton to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 28% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 0.9 for Northampton and 0.6 for Tranmere; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Northampton
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Grimsby 2026-10-17
- D 1-1 at York 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Rotherham 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Shrewsbury 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Newport County 2026-09-05
Tranmere
Attack 18th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Barnet 2026-10-17
- D 1-1 v Rochdale 2026-10-10
- L 2-4 at Chesterfield 2026-10-03
- D 1-1 v Walsall 2026-09-26
- D 0-0 at Exeter 2026-09-19
From 1230 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Tue 20 Oct
- Barnet vs Swindon · FT 1–3
- Bristol Rvs vs Salford · FT 1–2
- Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · FT 4–2
- Chesterfield vs Colchester · FT 1–1
- Exeter vs Crewe · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Newport County · FT 2–2
- Walsall vs Oldham · FT 3–0
- York vs Accrington · FT 1–1
- Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–3
- Gillingham vs Port Vale · FT 1–1