Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 18 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Full timeReal Madrid 4–1 SevillaResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Real MadridDrawSevilla
Model 1 ✓
76%15%
Market 1 ✓
80%13%
Brit Predictor's model rates Real Madrid to win as the most likely result (76%). It gives Real Madrid 76% at home, a draw 15% and Sevilla 9%, so its call is 1: Real Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 80% / 13% / 8%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.6 for Real Madrid and 0.8 for Sevilla; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Expected goals2.6 – 0.8
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score50%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Real Madrid
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
WLWWL
- W 1-0 v Villarreal 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Ath Madrid 2026-09-20
- W 3-2 at Elche 2026-09-15
- W 4-1 v Vallecano 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Betis 2026-09-04
Sevilla
Attack 12th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
DLWWD
- D 3-3 at Levante 2026-10-12
- L 1-3 v Barcelona 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at La Coruna 2026-09-16
- W 1-0 v Valencia 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 at Espanol 2026-09-06
From 843 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 18 Oct
- Osasuna vs Santander · FT 2–0
- Celta vs Alaves · FT 2–1
- Malaga vs Sociedad · FT 2–5