Celta vs Alaves prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Full timeCelta 2–1 AlavesResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
CeltaDrawAlaves
Model 1 ✓
51%27%23%
Market 1 ✓
43%30%26%
Brit Predictor's model rates Celta to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Celta 51% at home, a draw 27% and Alaves 23%, so its call is 1: Celta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 30% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Celta and 0.9 for Alaves; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score48%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Celta
Attack 9th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
DWDDD
- D 0-0 at Elche 2026-10-11
- W 5-0 v Santander 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Malaga 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Getafe 2026-09-07
- D 0-0 at Sociedad 2026-09-03
Alaves
Attack 15th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
LDLLW
- L 1-2 v Ath Madrid 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 at Ath Bilbao 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 v Valencia 2026-09-15
- L 1-2 at Santander 2026-09-12
- W 5-2 v Osasuna 2026-09-06
From 843 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 18 Oct
- Osasuna vs Santander · FT 2–0
- Malaga vs Sociedad · FT 2–5
- Real Madrid vs Sevilla · FT 4–1