Osasuna vs Santander prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Osasuna to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Osasuna 61% at home, a draw 18% and Santander 21%, so its call is 1: Osasuna to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 25% / 26%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.7 for Osasuna and 1.6 for Santander; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Santander, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Osasuna
Attack 14th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-5 at Betis 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 v Vallecano 2026-09-19
- L 0-4 at Ath Madrid 2026-09-16
- L 0-2 v Espanol 2026-09-12
- L 2-5 at Alaves 2026-09-06
Santander
Attack 5th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Valencia 2026-10-11
- L 0-5 at Celta 2026-09-19
- L 2-7 at Barcelona 2026-09-16
- W 2-1 v Alaves 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 at Vallecano 2026-09-05
From 843 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 18 Oct
- Celta vs Alaves · FT 2–1
- Malaga vs Sociedad · FT 2–5
- Real Madrid vs Sevilla · FT 4–1