Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Arsenal to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Nott'm Forest 18% at home, a draw 29% and Arsenal 53%, so its call is 2: Arsenal to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 13% / 22% / 65%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Nott'm Forest and 1.5 for Arsenal; the single most likely score is 0-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Nott'm Forest
Attack 12th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Crystal Palace 2026-10-11
- L 0-1 v Coventry 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Aston Villa 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Tottenham 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 at Liverpool 2026-08-29
Arsenal
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Leeds 2026-10-10
- L 0-3 at Brighton 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 at Sunderland 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Aston Villa 2026-08-31
From 825 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 18 Oct
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland · FT 2–0
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace · FT 5–0
- Leeds vs Man United · FT 1–1