Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Brighton to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Brighton 57% at home, a draw 24% and Crystal Palace 19%, so its call is 1: Brighton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 69% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Brighton and 1.0 for Crystal Palace; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Brighton
Attack 5th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Sunderland 2026-10-10
- W 3-0 v Arsenal 2026-09-19
- W 5-0 at Coventry 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 v Leeds 2026-09-05
- L 3-4 at Chelsea 2026-08-30
Crystal Palace
Attack 14th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Nott'm Forest 2026-10-11
- D 0-0 at Leeds 2026-09-20
- L 2-3 v Ipswich 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 at Fulham 2026-09-05
- L 1-4 v Man City 2026-08-28
From 825 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 18 Oct
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland · FT 2–0
- Leeds vs Man United · FT 1–1
- Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal · FT 0–1