Leeds vs Man United prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Full timeLeeds 1–1 Man UnitedResult X
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
LeedsDrawMan United
Model 12 ✗
38%28%34%
Market 12 ✗
38%28%34%
Brit Predictor's model rates Leeds to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Leeds 38% at home, a draw 28% and Man United 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 28% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Leeds and 1.3 for Man United; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score57%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Leeds
Attack 11th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
LDWDD
- L 1-2 at Arsenal 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-09-20
- W 4-1 v Newcastle 2026-09-14
- D 1-1 at Brighton 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Brentford 2026-08-30
Man United
Attack 7th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
DDLDW
- D 1-1 v Tottenham 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Fulham 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Man City 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Everton 2026-09-06
- W 5-2 v Ipswich 2026-08-30
From 825 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 18 Oct
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland · FT 2–0
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace · FT 5–0
- Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal · FT 0–1