Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Full timeBournemouth 2–0 SunderlandResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
BournemouthDrawSunderland
Model 1 ✓
48%28%24%
Market 1 ✓
47%29%24%
Brit Predictor's model rates Bournemouth to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Bournemouth 48% at home, a draw 28% and Sunderland 24%, so its call is 1: Bournemouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 29% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bournemouth and 1.0 for Sunderland; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score53%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Bournemouth
Attack 9th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
LLDDD
- L 1-5 at Chelsea 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Liverpool 2026-09-20
- D 2-2 v Brentford 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Everton 2026-08-29
Sunderland
Attack 19th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
LLLDW
- L 0-2 v Brighton 2026-10-10
- L 3-5 at Man City 2026-09-20
- L 0-2 v Arsenal 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Brentford 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Fulham 2026-08-30
From 825 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 18 Oct
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace · FT 5–0
- Leeds vs Man United · FT 1–1
- Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal · FT 0–1