Sassuolo vs Milan prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Full timeSassuolo 1–1 MilanResult X
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
SassuoloDrawMilan
Model 2 ✗
27%25%48%
Market 2 ✗
24%25%51%
Brit Predictor's model rates Milan to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Sassuolo 27% at home, a draw 25% and Milan 48%, so its call is 2: Milan to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 25% / 51%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sassuolo and 1.6 for Milan; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.1 – 1.6
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams score53%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sassuolo
Attack 9th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
LWDWL
- L 1-2 at Monza 2026-09-18
- W 3-2 v Juventus 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Bologna 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 v Torino 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Atalanta 2026-08-23
Milan
Attack 8th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
WDDWW
- W 3-0 v Lecce 2026-09-20
- D 2-2 at Lazio 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Juventus 2026-09-06
- W 2-0 v Venezia 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 at Torino 2026-08-23
From 813 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 11 Oct
- Como vs Roma · FT 0–0
- Lazio vs Monza · FT 3–1
- Lecce vs Bologna · FT 1–2
- Cagliari vs Juventus · FT 1–1