Brit Predictor

Lecce vs Bologna prediction

Italy Serie A · Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeLecce 1–2 BolognaResult 2

Who wins?

LecceDrawBologna
Model 2 ✓
21%28%51%
Market 2 ✓
25%30%46%

Brit Predictor's model rates Bologna to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Lecce 21% at home, a draw 28% and Bologna 51%, so its call is 2: Bologna to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 30% / 46%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Lecce and 1.4 for Bologna; the single most likely score is 0-1.

Expected goals0.8 – 1.4
Most likely score0-1
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score41%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Lecce

Attack 20th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.

LWLLW
  • L 0-3 at Milan 2026-09-20
  • W 3-2 v Monza 2026-09-13
  • L 0-1 at Cagliari 2026-09-07
  • L 0-4 v Roma 2026-08-31
  • W 2-0 at Venezia 2026-08-23

Bologna

Attack 10th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.

DLDLL
  • D 1-1 v Torino 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at Napoli 2026-09-13
  • D 2-2 v Sassuolo 2026-09-06
  • L 0-1 at Atalanta 2026-08-31
  • L 0-1 v Lazio 2026-08-24

From 813 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

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