Como vs Roma prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:30 WAT
Full timeComo 0–0 RomaResult X
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
ComoDrawRoma
Model 12 ✗
32%28%40%
Market 1 ✗
42%26%32%
Brit Predictor's model rates Roma to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Como 32% at home, a draw 28% and Roma 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 32%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Como and 1.3 for Roma; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score49%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Como
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
LWWWD
- L 0-2 at Frosinone 2026-09-20
- W 2-1 v Parma 2026-09-14
- W 4-1 at Genoa 2026-09-04
- W 2-1 at Napoli 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 at Udinese 2026-08-22
Roma
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
DWWWW
- D 2-2 v Inter 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 at Torino 2026-09-14
- W 2-1 v Atalanta 2026-09-05
- W 4-0 at Lecce 2026-08-31
- W 4-0 v Fiorentina 2026-08-24
From 813 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 11 Oct
- Lazio vs Monza · FT 3–1
- Lecce vs Bologna · FT 1–2
- Sassuolo vs Milan · FT 1–1
- Cagliari vs Juventus · FT 1–1