Lazio vs Monza prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lazio to win as the most likely result (68%). It gives Lazio 68% at home, a draw 19% and Monza 13%, so its call is 1: Lazio to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 24% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for Lazio and 0.8 for Monza; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lazio
Attack 11th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Venezia 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Milan 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 at Udinese 2026-09-07
- W 1-0 v Genoa 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 at Bologna 2026-08-24
Monza
Attack 17th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-09-18
- L 2-3 at Lecce 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Parma 2026-09-06
- L 2-3 v Udinese 2026-08-29
- L 1-4 at Inter 2026-08-22
From 813 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 11 Oct
- Como vs Roma · FT 0–0
- Lecce vs Bologna · FT 1–2
- Sassuolo vs Milan · FT 1–1
- Cagliari vs Juventus · FT 1–1