Union Berlin vs Elversberg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Elversberg to win as the most likely result (67%). It gives Union Berlin 16% at home, a draw 17% and Elversberg 67%, so its call is 2: Elversberg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 26% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Union Berlin and 2.7 for Elversberg; the single most likely score is 1-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Elversberg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Union Berlin
Attack 15th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-7 at Bayern Munich 2026-09-18
- L 1-3 v Schalke 04 2026-09-11
- L 0-4 at Leverkusen 2026-09-05
- D 3-3 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Augsburg 2026-05-16
Elversberg
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Schalke 04 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 v Bayern Munich 2026-09-13
- W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 v Leverkusen 2026-08-29
From 649 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 10 Oct
- Mainz vs Leverkusen · FT 3–4
- Paderborn vs Stuttgart · FT 0–2
- Augsburg vs Bayern Munich · FT 2–2
- Hoffenheim vs Hamburg · FT 2–3
- RB Leipzig vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 6–0