Paderborn vs Stuttgart prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stuttgart to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Paderborn 23% at home, a draw 30% and Stuttgart 47%, so its call is 2: Stuttgart to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 20% / 20% / 60%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Paderborn and 1.3 for Stuttgart; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Paderborn, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Paderborn
Attack 18th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Hoffenheim 2026-09-20
- L 0-3 at Dortmund 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Freiburg 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 at Mainz 2026-08-29
Stuttgart
Attack 5th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Dortmund 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-09-12
- W 4-1 v FC Koln 2026-09-04
- L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-05-16
From 649 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 10 Oct
- Union Berlin vs Elversberg · FT 1–0
- Mainz vs Leverkusen · FT 3–4
- Augsburg vs Bayern Munich · FT 2–2
- Hoffenheim vs Hamburg · FT 2–3
- RB Leipzig vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 6–0