Hoffenheim vs Hamburg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Full timeHoffenheim 2–3 HamburgResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
HoffenheimDrawHamburg
Model 1 ✗
60%22%19%
Market 1 ✗
70%17%13%
Brit Predictor's model rates Hoffenheim to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Hoffenheim 60% at home, a draw 22% and Hamburg 19%, so its call is 1: Hoffenheim to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 17% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for Hoffenheim and 1.1 for Hamburg; the single most likely score is 2-1.
Expected goals2.1 – 1.1
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score60%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hoffenheim
Attack 8th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
LWLLL
- L 1-3 at Paderborn 2026-09-20
- W 2-1 v Stuttgart 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 v Dortmund 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at FC Koln 2026-08-29
- L 0-4 at M'gladbach 2026-05-16
Hamburg
Attack 16th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
WLLLD
- W 2-1 v FC Koln 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 at RB Leipzig 2026-09-13
- L 0-5 v Mainz 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Dortmund 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Leverkusen 2026-05-16
From 649 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 10 Oct
- Union Berlin vs Elversberg · FT 1–0
- Mainz vs Leverkusen · FT 3–4
- Paderborn vs Stuttgart · FT 0–2
- Augsburg vs Bayern Munich · FT 2–2
- RB Leipzig vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 6–0