Sunderland vs Brighton prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeSunderland 0–2 BrightonResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
SunderlandDrawBrighton
Model 2 ✓
28%28%44%
Market 12 ✓
32%28%41%
Brit Predictor's model rates Brighton to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Sunderland 28% at home, a draw 28% and Brighton 44%, so its call is 2: Brighton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 28% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sunderland and 1.5 for Brighton; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score56%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sunderland
Attack 18th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
LLDWL
- L 3-5 at Man City 2026-09-20
- L 0-2 v Arsenal 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Brentford 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Fulham 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 at Ipswich 2026-08-22
Brighton
Attack 4th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
WWDLW
- W 3-0 v Arsenal 2026-09-19
- W 5-0 at Coventry 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 v Leeds 2026-09-05
- L 3-4 at Chelsea 2026-08-30
- W 4-0 v Aston Villa 2026-08-23
From 810 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 10 Oct
- Arsenal vs Leeds · FT 2–1
- Aston Villa vs Brentford · FT 2–2
- Chelsea vs Bournemouth · FT 5–1
- Ipswich vs Fulham · FT 2–1
- Man United vs Tottenham · FT 1–1