Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Chelsea to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Chelsea 42% at home, a draw 26% and Bournemouth 31%, so its call is 1: Chelsea to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 23% / 23%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Chelsea and 1.4 for Bournemouth; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Chelsea
Attack 5th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Brentford 2026-09-18
- D 2-2 v Hull 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Arsenal 2026-09-06
- W 4-3 v Brighton 2026-08-30
- W 3-2 at Fulham 2026-08-24
Bournemouth
Attack 9th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Liverpool 2026-09-20
- D 2-2 v Brentford 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Everton 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Man City 2026-08-23
From 810 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 10 Oct
- Arsenal vs Leeds · FT 2–1
- Aston Villa vs Brentford · FT 2–2
- Ipswich vs Fulham · FT 2–1
- Sunderland vs Brighton · FT 0–2
- Man United vs Tottenham · FT 1–1