Arsenal vs Leeds prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Full timeArsenal 2–1 LeedsResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
ArsenalDrawLeeds
Model 1 ✓
61%26%14%
Market 1 ✓
68%20%12%
Brit Predictor's model rates Arsenal to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Arsenal 61% at home, a draw 26% and Leeds 14%, so its call is 1: Arsenal to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 20% / 12%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Arsenal and 0.7 for Leeds; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score42%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Arsenal
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
LWWWW
- L 0-3 at Brighton 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 at Sunderland 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Aston Villa 2026-08-31
- W 3-0 v Coventry 2026-08-21
Leeds
Attack 11th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
DWDDW
- D 0-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-09-20
- W 4-1 v Newcastle 2026-09-14
- D 1-1 at Brighton 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Brentford 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 at Nott'm Forest 2026-08-22
From 810 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 10 Oct
- Aston Villa vs Brentford · FT 2–2
- Chelsea vs Bournemouth · FT 5–1
- Ipswich vs Fulham · FT 2–1
- Sunderland vs Brighton · FT 0–2
- Man United vs Tottenham · FT 1–1