Brit Predictor

Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction

England Premier League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeAston Villa 2–2 BrentfordResult X

Who wins?

Aston VillaDrawBrentford
Model 12 ✗
38%27%35%
Market 12 ✗
38%26%36%

Brit Predictor's model rates Aston Villa to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Aston Villa 38% at home, a draw 27% and Brentford 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 26% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Aston Villa and 1.4 for Brentford; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score60%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Aston Villa

Attack 10th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.

WLDLL
  • W 3-2 at Tottenham 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 v Nott'm Forest 2026-09-12
  • D 0-0 at Hull 2026-09-05
  • L 0-1 v Arsenal 2026-08-31
  • L 0-4 at Brighton 2026-08-23

Brentford

Attack 7th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.

WDDDW
  • W 3-0 v Chelsea 2026-09-18
  • D 2-2 at Bournemouth 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 v Sunderland 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 at Leeds 2026-08-30
  • W 3-0 v Tottenham 2026-08-22

From 810 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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