Brit Predictor

Sp Gijon vs Celta B prediction

Spain Segunda · Sunday 4 October 2026, 16:15 WAT

Full timeSp Gijon 3–2 Celta BResult 1

Who wins?

Sp GijonDrawCelta B
Model 1 ✓
54%24%22%
Market 1 ✓
54%26%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Gijon to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Sp Gijon 54% at home, a draw 24% and Celta B 22%, so its call is 1: Sp Gijon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 26% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sp Gijon and 1.0 for Celta B; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Celta B, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Sp Gijon

Attack 9th of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.

LWLLW
  • L 0-2 at Oviedo 2026-09-27
  • W 3-1 at Andorra 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 v Eldense 2026-09-13
  • L 0-2 v Girona 2026-09-05
  • W 1-0 at Tenerife 2026-08-28

Celta B

Attack 14th of 22, defence 19th of 22 in the league.

DLLWL
  • D 1-1 v Sabadell 2026-09-26
  • L 0-2 at Almeria 2026-09-20
  • L 0-4 v Eibar 2026-09-14
  • W 2-0 at Ceuta 2026-09-05
  • L 1-2 v Castellon 2026-08-31

From 1005 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sun 4 Oct

More Spain Segunda games on Sun 4 Oct