Girona vs Mallorca prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 4 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (35%). It gives Girona 30% at home, a draw 35% and Mallorca 35%, so its call is X2: Mallorca to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 28% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.8 for Girona and 0.8 for Mallorca; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Girona, Mallorca, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Girona
Attack 1st of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Albacete 2026-09-25
- W 2-1 at Cadiz 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 v Castellon 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-09-05
- W 5-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-29
Mallorca
Attack 19th of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Almeria 2026-09-27
- W 1-0 at Sociedad B 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Sabadell 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Eldense 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v Ceuta 2026-08-30
From 1005 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 4 Oct
- Sociedad B vs Granada · FT 2–3
- Sp Gijon vs Celta B · FT 3–2
- Castellon vs Ceuta · FT 1–1
- Las Palmas vs Valladolid · FT 2–2
- Sabadell vs Andorra · FT 0–0