Las Palmas vs Valladolid prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 4 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Las Palmas to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Las Palmas 58% at home, a draw 24% and Valladolid 17%, so its call is 1: Las Palmas to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 29% / 33%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Las Palmas and 0.8 for Valladolid; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Las Palmas
Attack 6th of 22, defence 6th of 22 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Eibar 2026-09-27
- L 1-2 v Burgos 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Cadiz 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Leganes 2026-09-04
- L 2-5 at Girona 2026-08-29
Valladolid
Attack 20th of 22, defence 13th of 22 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Cordoba 2026-09-27
- D 1-1 at Ceuta 2026-09-20
- L 0-3 v Oviedo 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 v Andorra 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Cadiz 2026-08-30
From 1005 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 4 Oct
- Sociedad B vs Granada · FT 2–3
- Sp Gijon vs Celta B · FT 3–2
- Castellon vs Ceuta · FT 1–1
- Girona vs Mallorca · FT 0–0
- Sabadell vs Andorra · FT 0–0