Castellon vs Ceuta prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 4 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Full timeCastellon 1–1 CeutaResult X
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
CastellonDrawCeuta
Model 1 ✗
72%16%12%
Market 1 ✗
79%13%
Brit Predictor's model rates Castellon to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives Castellon 72% at home, a draw 16% and Ceuta 12%, so its call is 1: Castellon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 79% / 13% / 8%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.5 for Castellon and 0.9 for Ceuta; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Expected goals2.5 – 0.9
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score55%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 8th of 22 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 2-0 at Leganes 2026-09-28
- W 5-0 v Tenerife 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Girona 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 v Albacete 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Celta B 2026-08-31
Ceuta
Attack 15th of 22, defence 22nd of 22 in the league.
WDLLL
- W 3-1 v Sociedad B 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-09-20
- L 1-3 at Burgos 2026-09-11
- L 0-2 v Celta B 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Mallorca 2026-08-30
From 1005 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 4 Oct
- Sociedad B vs Granada · FT 2–3
- Sp Gijon vs Celta B · FT 3–2
- Las Palmas vs Valladolid · FT 2–2
- Girona vs Mallorca · FT 0–0
- Sabadell vs Andorra · FT 0–0