Hartlepool vs Tamworth prediction
England National League · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeHartlepool 0–1 TamworthResult 2
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
HartlepoolDrawTamworth
Model 12 ✓
41%25%33%
Market 1 ✗
44%25%31%
Brit Predictor's model rates Hartlepool to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Hartlepool 41% at home, a draw 25% and Tamworth 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hartlepool and 1.3 for Tamworth; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score56%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hartlepool
Attack 24th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
LLLLL
- L 0-1 v Harrogate 2026-09-29
- L 1-4 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-26
- L 1-3 v Worthing 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 at Altrincham 2026-09-16
- L 0-2 at Kidderminster 2026-09-11
Tamworth
Attack 9th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
WLWLL
- W 2-0 v Sutton 2026-09-30
- L 1-5 at Aldershot 2026-09-26
- W 2-1 v Wealdstone 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Southend 2026-09-15
- L 1-3 at Harrogate 2026-09-12
From 1236 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 3 Oct
- Southend vs Fylde · FT 3–1
- Solihull vs Halifax · FT 0–2
- Kidderminster vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Harrogate vs Hornchurch · FT 3–0
- Yeovil vs Boston Utd · FT 6–0
- Eastleigh vs Woking · FT 1–3
- Aldershot vs Carlisle · FT 1–3
- Gateshead vs Worthing · FT 1–2
- Boreham Wood vs Altrincham · FT 3–1
- Barrow vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1