Gateshead vs Worthing prediction
England National League · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Worthing to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Gateshead 22% at home, a draw 20% and Worthing 58%, so its call is 2: Worthing to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 14% / 18% / 67%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gateshead and 2.2 for Worthing; the single most likely score is 1-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Worthing, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Gateshead
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Altrincham 2026-09-29
- L 0-4 at Wealdstone 2026-09-26
- L 1-6 v Southend 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Kidderminster 2026-09-16
- L 0-4 at Forest Green 2026-09-12
Worthing
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Yeovil 2026-09-29
- W 2-1 v Halifax 2026-09-26
- W 3-1 at Hartlepool 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Hornchurch 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-09-12
From 1236 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 3 Oct
- Hartlepool vs Tamworth · FT 0–1
- Southend vs Fylde · FT 3–1
- Solihull vs Halifax · FT 0–2
- Kidderminster vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Harrogate vs Hornchurch · FT 3–0
- Yeovil vs Boston Utd · FT 6–0
- Eastleigh vs Woking · FT 1–3
- Aldershot vs Carlisle · FT 1–3
- Boreham Wood vs Altrincham · FT 3–1
- Barrow vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1