Aldershot vs Carlisle prediction
England National League · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeAldershot 1–3 CarlisleResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
AldershotDrawCarlisle
Model 2 ✓
28%22%50%
Market 2 ✓
23%23%54%
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Aldershot 28% at home, a draw 22% and Carlisle 50%, so its call is 2: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 23% / 23% / 54%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Aldershot and 2.0 for Carlisle; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.4 – 2.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score65%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Aldershot
Attack 10th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
LWLDW
- L 1-2 at Hornchurch 2026-09-29
- W 5-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-26
- L 0-1 at Barrow 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Yeovil 2026-09-15
- W 2-1 at Solihull 2026-09-12
Carlisle
Attack 4th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
WLLDD
- W 2-0 at Fylde 2026-09-29
- L 2-5 v Woking 2026-09-26
- L 0-1 at Eastleigh 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Forest Green 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 v Southend 2026-09-12
From 1236 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 3 Oct
- Hartlepool vs Tamworth · FT 0–1
- Southend vs Fylde · FT 3–1
- Solihull vs Halifax · FT 0–2
- Kidderminster vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Harrogate vs Hornchurch · FT 3–0
- Yeovil vs Boston Utd · FT 6–0
- Eastleigh vs Woking · FT 1–3
- Gateshead vs Worthing · FT 1–2
- Boreham Wood vs Altrincham · FT 3–1
- Barrow vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1