Harrogate vs Hornchurch prediction
England National League · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Harrogate to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Harrogate 59% at home, a draw 20% and Hornchurch 21%, so its call is 1: Harrogate to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 21% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for Harrogate and 1.2 for Hornchurch; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, Hornchurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Harrogate
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Hartlepool 2026-09-29
- W 4-1 v Eastleigh 2026-09-26
- L 1-4 at Boreham Wood 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 v Fylde 2026-09-15
- W 3-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-12
Hornchurch
Attack 18th of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Aldershot 2026-09-29
- L 0-3 at Altrincham 2026-09-26
- W 1-0 v Scunthorpe 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Worthing 2026-09-15
- L 0-3 at Halifax 2026-09-12
From 1236 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 3 Oct
- Hartlepool vs Tamworth · FT 0–1
- Southend vs Fylde · FT 3–1
- Solihull vs Halifax · FT 0–2
- Kidderminster vs Sutton · FT 1–1
- Yeovil vs Boston Utd · FT 6–0
- Eastleigh vs Woking · FT 1–3
- Aldershot vs Carlisle · FT 1–3
- Gateshead vs Worthing · FT 1–2
- Boreham Wood vs Altrincham · FT 3–1
- Barrow vs Wealdstone · FT 2–1