Hornchurch vs Aldershot prediction
England National League · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hornchurch to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Hornchurch 43% at home, a draw 25% and Aldershot 32%, so its call is 1: Hornchurch to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hornchurch and 1.3 for Aldershot; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Hornchurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hornchurch
Attack 21st of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Altrincham 2026-09-26
- W 1-0 v Scunthorpe 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Worthing 2026-09-15
- L 0-3 at Halifax 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Forest Green 2026-09-05
Aldershot
Attack 11th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- W 5-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-26
- L 0-1 at Barrow 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Yeovil 2026-09-15
- W 2-1 at Solihull 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Halifax 2026-09-05
From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Tue 29 Sep
- Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster · FT 3–1
- Yeovil vs Worthing · FT 1–1
- Woking vs Solihull · FT 2–4
- Hartlepool vs Harrogate · FT 0–1
- Halifax vs Boston Utd · FT 1–1
- Fylde vs Carlisle · FT 0–2
- Forest Green vs Wealdstone · FT 1–1
- Barrow vs Scunthorpe · FT 3–0
- Gateshead vs Altrincham · FT 0–1