Brit Predictor

Barrow vs Scunthorpe prediction

England National League · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeBarrow 3–0 ScunthorpeResult 1

Who wins?

BarrowDrawScunthorpe
Model 1 ✓
45%24%31%
Market 1 ✓
45%25%30%

Brit Predictor's model rates Barrow to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Barrow 45% at home, a draw 24% and Scunthorpe 31%, so its call is 1: Barrow to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 25% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Barrow and 1.4 for Scunthorpe; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Barrow, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.4
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score60%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Barrow

Attack 8th of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.

WWLDW
  • W 4-2 at Southend 2026-09-26
  • W 1-0 v Aldershot 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at Solihull 2026-09-15
  • D 2-2 at Worthing 2026-09-12
  • W 3-0 v Sutton 2026-09-05

Scunthorpe

Attack 7th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.

WLLWL
  • W 4-1 v Hartlepool 2026-09-26
  • L 0-1 at Hornchurch 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 v Boreham Wood 2026-09-16
  • W 2-0 at Sutton 2026-09-12
  • L 0-2 v Harrogate 2026-09-05

From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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