Hartlepool vs Harrogate prediction
England National League · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Harrogate to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Hartlepool 30% at home, a draw 22% and Harrogate 48%, so its call is 2: Harrogate to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 25% / 49%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hartlepool and 1.9 for Harrogate; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hartlepool
Attack 24th of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-26
- L 1-3 v Worthing 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 at Altrincham 2026-09-16
- L 0-2 at Kidderminster 2026-09-11
- W 1-0 v Woking 2026-09-05
Harrogate
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-1 v Eastleigh 2026-09-26
- L 1-4 at Boreham Wood 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 v Fylde 2026-09-15
- W 3-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-05
From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Tue 29 Sep
- Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster · FT 3–1
- Yeovil vs Worthing · FT 1–1
- Woking vs Solihull · FT 2–4
- Hornchurch vs Aldershot · FT 2–1
- Halifax vs Boston Utd · FT 1–1
- Fylde vs Carlisle · FT 0–2
- Forest Green vs Wealdstone · FT 1–1
- Barrow vs Scunthorpe · FT 3–0
- Gateshead vs Altrincham · FT 0–1