Fylde vs Carlisle prediction
England National League · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Fylde 31% at home, a draw 22% and Carlisle 46%, so its call is 2: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 24% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fylde and 1.8 for Carlisle; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Fylde, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Fylde
Attack 9th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Boston Utd 2026-09-26
- L 1-2 v Altrincham 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Harrogate 2026-09-15
- W 4-1 at Yeovil 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Worthing 2026-09-05
Carlisle
Attack 4th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- L 2-5 v Woking 2026-09-26
- L 0-1 at Eastleigh 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Forest Green 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 v Southend 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Boreham Wood 2026-09-05
From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Tue 29 Sep
- Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster · FT 3–1
- Yeovil vs Worthing · FT 1–1
- Woking vs Solihull · FT 2–4
- Hornchurch vs Aldershot · FT 2–1
- Hartlepool vs Harrogate · FT 0–1
- Halifax vs Boston Utd · FT 1–1
- Forest Green vs Wealdstone · FT 1–1
- Barrow vs Scunthorpe · FT 3–0
- Gateshead vs Altrincham · FT 0–1