Sabadell vs Oviedo prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oviedo to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Sabadell 30% at home, a draw 32% and Oviedo 38%, so its call is X2: Oviedo to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 31% / 27%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sabadell and 1.0 for Oviedo; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Sabadell, Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sabadell
Attack 19th of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Mallorca 2026-09-13
- W 3-2 v Cordoba 2026-09-07
- W 1-0 v Almeria 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Castellon 2026-08-23
- D 0-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-08-17
Oviedo
Attack 12th of 22, defence 3rd of 22 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Valladolid 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 v Burgos 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Albacete 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Leganes 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Granada 2026-08-15
From 985 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 20 Sep
- Ceuta vs Valladolid · FT 1–1
- Las Palmas vs Burgos · FT 1–2
- Almeria vs Celta B · FT 2–0
- Leganes vs Granada · FT 3–2