Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ceuta to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Ceuta 41% at home, a draw 27% and Valladolid 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 29% / 41%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ceuta and 1.1 for Valladolid; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ceuta
Attack 15th of 22, defence 22nd of 22 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Burgos 2026-09-11
- L 0-2 v Celta B 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Mallorca 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-22
- L 1-5 at Andorra 2026-08-15
Valladolid
Attack 21st of 22, defence 14th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Oviedo 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 v Andorra 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Cadiz 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Eibar 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Mallorca 2026-08-15
From 985 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 20 Sep
- Sabadell vs Oviedo · FT 3–1
- Las Palmas vs Burgos · FT 1–2
- Almeria vs Celta B · FT 2–0
- Leganes vs Granada · FT 3–2