Las Palmas vs Burgos prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 20 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Las Palmas to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Las Palmas 42% at home, a draw 31% and Burgos 27%, so its call is 1: Las Palmas to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 28% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Las Palmas and 0.8 for Burgos; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Las Palmas
Attack 6th of 22, defence 5th of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Cadiz 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Leganes 2026-09-04
- L 2-5 at Girona 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Ceuta 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Albacete 2026-08-16
Burgos
Attack 16th of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Ceuta 2026-09-11
- D 0-0 at Oviedo 2026-09-06
- D 2-2 v Sociedad B 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 at Sp Gijon 2026-08-23
- W 3-2 v Cordoba 2026-08-16
From 985 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 20 Sep
- Sabadell vs Oviedo · FT 3–1
- Ceuta vs Valladolid · FT 1–1
- Almeria vs Celta B · FT 2–0
- Leganes vs Granada · FT 3–2