Leganes vs Granada prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 20 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Leganes to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Leganes 36% at home, a draw 30% and Granada 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 30% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Leganes and 1.0 for Granada; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Leganes
Attack 22nd of 22, defence 6th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Tenerife 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Las Palmas 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 v Eldense 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Oviedo 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Girona 2026-08-16
Granada
Attack 8th of 22, defence 10th of 22 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Albacete 2026-09-12
- L 0-3 at Eibar 2026-09-06
- W 3-1 at Cordoba 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 v Mallorca 2026-08-24
- D 0-0 at Oviedo 2026-08-15
From 985 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 20 Sep
- Sabadell vs Oviedo · FT 3–1
- Ceuta vs Valladolid · FT 1–1
- Las Palmas vs Burgos · FT 1–2
- Almeria vs Celta B · FT 2–0