Parma vs Genoa prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Genoa to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Parma 33% at home, a draw 31% and Genoa 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 32% / 39%, a call of X2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Parma and 1.0 for Genoa; the single most likely score is 0-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Parma
Attack 19th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Como 2026-09-14
- D 1-1 v Monza 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Cagliari 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Sassuolo 2026-05-24
Genoa
Attack 16th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Frosinone 2026-09-12
- L 1-4 v Como 2026-09-04
- L 0-1 at Lazio 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Napoli 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Lecce 2026-05-24
From 805 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 20 Sep
- Fiorentina vs Napoli · FT 1–1
- Frosinone vs Como · FT 2–0
- Juventus vs Atalanta · FT 2–0
- Milan vs Lecce · FT 3–0