Frosinone vs Como prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Como to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Frosinone 22% at home, a draw 24% and Como 53%, so its call is 2: Como to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 18% / 68%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Frosinone and 1.6 for Como; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Frosinone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Frosinone
Attack 13th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Genoa 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Venezia 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 at Fiorentina 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Juventus 2026-08-23
Como
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Parma 2026-09-14
- W 4-1 at Genoa 2026-09-04
- W 2-1 at Napoli 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 at Udinese 2026-08-22
- W 4-1 at Cremonese 2026-05-24
From 805 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 20 Sep
- Fiorentina vs Napoli · FT 1–1
- Parma vs Genoa · FT 2–1
- Juventus vs Atalanta · FT 2–0
- Milan vs Lecce · FT 3–0