Juventus vs Atalanta prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 20 September 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Juventus to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Juventus 40% at home, a draw 28% and Atalanta 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 23% / 17%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Juventus and 1.1 for Atalanta; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Juventus
Attack 4th of 20, defence 3rd of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Sassuolo 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 v Milan 2026-09-06
- W 2-0 v Parma 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Frosinone 2026-08-23
- D 2-2 at Torino 2026-05-24
Atalanta
Attack 5th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Cagliari 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Roma 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Bologna 2026-08-31
- W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at Fiorentina 2026-05-22
From 805 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 20 Sep
- Fiorentina vs Napoli · FT 1–1
- Parma vs Genoa · FT 2–1
- Frosinone vs Como · FT 2–0
- Milan vs Lecce · FT 3–0