Estrela vs Academico Viseu prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Estrela to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Estrela 41% at home, a draw 25% and Academico Viseu 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 28% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Estrela and 1.3 for Academico Viseu; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Academico Viseu, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Estrela
Attack 8th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 at Rio Ave 2026-09-14
- W 2-1 v Sp Braga 2026-09-10
- D 2-2 v Famalicao 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 at Nacional 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 at Alverca 2026-08-15
Academico Viseu
Attack 9th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Guimaraes 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at Gil Vicente 2026-09-06
- L 0-3 v Porto 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Maritimo 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Santa Clara 2026-08-15
From 669 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 20 Sep
- Guimaraes vs Moreirense · FT 1–1
- Estoril vs Casa Pia · FT 1–2
- Santa Clara vs Sp Braga · FT 0–0
- Porto vs Benfica · FT 3–1