Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Estoril to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Estoril 59% at home, a draw 22% and Casa Pia 19%, so its call is 1: Estoril to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 24% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Estoril and 0.9 for Casa Pia; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Estoril
Attack 5th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Sp Braga 2026-09-14
- D 0-0 v Arouca 2026-09-07
- L 1-2 at Benfica 2026-08-31
- L 0-2 v Rio Ave 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Nacional 2026-08-16
Casa Pia
Attack 18th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 v Porto 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 at Guimaraes 2026-09-06
- L 0-1 v Moreirense 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 at Gil Vicente 2026-08-24
- L 0-7 v Benfica 2026-08-17
From 669 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 20 Sep
- Guimaraes vs Moreirense · FT 1–1
- Estrela vs Academico Viseu · FT 0–2
- Santa Clara vs Sp Braga · FT 0–0
- Porto vs Benfica · FT 3–1