Brit Predictor

Werder Bremen vs Augsburg prediction

Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:30 WAT

Full timeWerder Bremen 3–2 AugsburgResult 1

Who wins?

Werder BremenDrawAugsburg
Model 12 ✓
38%28%34%
Market 1 ✓
43%25%33%

Brit Predictor's model rates Werder Bremen to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Werder Bremen 38% at home, a draw 28% and Augsburg 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 25% / 33%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Werder Bremen and 1.3 for Augsburg; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 50%.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 50%
Both teams score55%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Werder Bremen

Attack 15th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.

DWLLL
  • D 1-1 at FC Koln 2026-09-12
  • W 3-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-09-05
  • L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-08-30
  • L 0-2 v Dortmund 2026-05-16
  • L 0-1 at Hoffenheim 2026-05-09

Augsburg

Attack 13th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.

DWWLW
  • D 2-2 v Leverkusen 2026-09-12
  • W 4-1 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-09-06
  • W 3-0 v Schalke 04 2026-08-30
  • L 0-4 at Union Berlin 2026-05-16
  • W 3-1 v M'gladbach 2026-05-09

From 640 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.

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