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Stuttgart vs Dortmund prediction

Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:30 WAT

Full timeStuttgart 0–1 DortmundResult 2

Who wins?

StuttgartDrawDortmund
Model 12 ✓
34%24%42%
Market 12 ✓
41%24%35%

Brit Predictor's model rates Dortmund to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Stuttgart 34% at home, a draw 24% and Dortmund 42%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 24% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Stuttgart and 1.8 for Dortmund; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 66%.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.8
GoalsOver 2.5 · 66%
Both teams score67%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Stuttgart

Attack 4th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.

LWLDW
  • L 1-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-09-12
  • W 4-1 v FC Koln 2026-09-04
  • L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-08-28
  • D 2-2 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-05-16
  • W 3-1 v Leverkusen 2026-05-09

Dortmund

Attack 2nd of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.

WWWWW
  • W 3-0 v Paderborn 2026-09-12
  • W 3-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-09-05
  • W 2-0 v Hamburg 2026-08-29
  • W 2-0 at Werder Bremen 2026-05-16
  • W 3-2 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-05-08

From 640 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.

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