Hamburg vs FC Koln prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates FC Koln to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Hamburg 36% at home, a draw 26% and FC Koln 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hamburg and 1.5 for FC Koln; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Hamburg
Attack 18th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-5 at RB Leipzig 2026-09-13
- L 0-5 v Mainz 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Dortmund 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Leverkusen 2026-05-16
- W 3-2 v Freiburg 2026-05-10
FC Koln
Attack 10th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Werder Bremen 2026-09-12
- L 1-4 at Stuttgart 2026-09-04
- W 3-2 v Hoffenheim 2026-08-29
- L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Heidenheim 2026-05-10
From 640 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 19 Sep
- Werder Bremen vs Augsburg · FT 3–2
- M'gladbach vs Mainz · FT 3–4
- Ein Frankfurt vs Freiburg · FT 2–2
- Stuttgart vs Dortmund · FT 0–1