Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Toulouse to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Toulouse 52% at home, a draw 27% and Le Havre 21%, so its call is 1: Toulouse to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 23% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Toulouse and 0.9 for Le Havre; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Toulouse
Attack 13th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Lorient 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Lille 2026-09-03
- D 2-2 at Brest 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 v Lyon 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 at Nantes 2026-05-17
Le Havre
Attack 17th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Angers 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Brest 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Lyon 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Monaco 2026-08-23
- W 2-0 at Lorient 2026-05-17
From 649 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 19 Sep
- Paris FC vs Strasbourg · FT 2–1
- Lyon vs Rennes · FT 4–0
- Angers vs Troyes · FT 2–0
- Le Mans vs Lorient · FT 2–1