Lyon vs Rennes prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lyon to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Lyon 50% at home, a draw 24% and Rennes 26%, so its call is 1: Lyon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 25% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lyon and 1.3 for Rennes; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 62%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lyon
Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Paris FC 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Auxerre 2026-09-04
- D 1-1 v Le Havre 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Toulouse 2026-08-22
- L 0-4 v Lens 2026-05-17
Rennes
Attack 5th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Marseille 2026-09-11
- W 2-1 at Angers 2026-09-06
- W 3-2 v Le Mans 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 v Paris SG 2026-08-23
- L 1-3 at Marseille 2026-05-17
From 649 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 19 Sep
- Paris FC vs Strasbourg · FT 2–1
- Toulouse vs Le Havre · FT 3–2
- Angers vs Troyes · FT 2–0
- Le Mans vs Lorient · FT 2–1