Angers vs Troyes prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Angers to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Angers 38% at home, a draw 30% and Troyes 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 27% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Angers and 1.1 for Troyes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Troyes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Angers
Attack 18th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Le Havre 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Rennes 2026-09-06
- W 3-1 at Auxerre 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 v Lille 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at Brest 2026-05-17
Troyes
Attack 16th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Lille 2026-09-13
- L 2-6 v Strasbourg 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Lorient 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 v Paris FC 2026-08-22
From 649 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 19 Sep
- Paris FC vs Strasbourg · FT 2–1
- Toulouse vs Le Havre · FT 3–2
- Lyon vs Rennes · FT 4–0
- Le Mans vs Lorient · FT 2–1