Osasuna vs Vallecano prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Osasuna to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Osasuna 41% at home, a draw 28% and Vallecano 31%, so its call is 1: Osasuna to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 29% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Osasuna and 1.1 for Vallecano; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Osasuna
Attack 16th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Ath Madrid 2026-09-16
- L 0-2 v Espanol 2026-09-12
- L 2-5 at Alaves 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 v Getafe 2026-08-31
- W 2-1 at Celta 2026-08-27
Vallecano
Attack 15th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Espanol 2026-09-15
- L 1-4 at Real Madrid 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Santander 2026-09-05
- L 2-5 at Barcelona 2026-08-31
- D 1-1 v Alaves 2026-08-20
From 820 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 19 Sep
- Ath Bilbao vs Alaves · FT 0–0
- Celta vs Santander · FT 5–0
- Sevilla vs Barcelona · FT 1–3